The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two quick 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop at ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to accumulate another win in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a strong start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, be sure to look at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and current results into consideration.
It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, such as correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it’s off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its own projected top . Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like ISM Raceway are in his bloodstream. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can inform you the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He is a goal for anyone searching for a massive payday.
Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the road to some 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out last year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place finish at Homestead. He will also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 with a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the very best Vegas favourite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning it all.
Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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