It is simple for lovers and sports bettors to miss UFC 224 while looking forward toward CM Punk’s redemption struggle at UFC 225, the champion vs. champion match-up at UFC 226 or the rumored Georges St-Pierre vs. Nate Diaz bout at UFC 227.
That would be an error.
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, is getting an exciting fight card with intriguing options for gamblers seeking to parlay prelim fights with main-card bouts. The actual money on this card is going to be made by betting on stoppages, decisions or even the over-under on rounds; not on digging to discover underdogs to drop money on.
[Editor’s note: You can follow Kel at @KelDansby. Dansby is author for ABC 13 in Las Vegas and co-host of The Corner Podcast along with Andreas Hale. The podcast covers boxing, mixed martial arts and also pro wrestling by a Hip Hop generation’s view.]
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and much more UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington, Preview, Betting Picks: Nunes vs. Pennington, Souza vs. Gastelum, Okeinik vs. Albini and more Let us begin with the card’s main event women’s bantamweight title fight between Amanda Nunes (-1400) and Racquel Pennington (+800). Pennington enters UFC 224 to a four-fight winning streak, with her final loss coming by split decision to former bantamweight champion and current featherweight contender Holly Holm.
That run of success will jump off the page to people hoping to bet on a title underdog to mad a winner that nonetheless has a lot to prove, but when you dig deeper you find that Pennington’s streak is a bit of a mirage.
“Rocky” has just stopped two of her last 10 opponents. Both of those competitions, Jessica Andrade (strawweight) and Ashlee Evans-Smith (flyweight), are now competing in lighter weight classes. Pennington had a split decision to conquer Bethe Correia, which isn’t a terrific vote of confidence for all those hoping she’ll conquer Nunes.
Pennington’s most recent wins were against Elizabeth Phillips and a deflated Meisha Tate — both also coming by decision. The cherry on top of this”do not fall for the underdog story” cautionary tale is that the fact that Pennington hasn’t competed since November 2016 and has been thrust to this title fight.
The winner Amanda Nunes has been much more striking in her last 10 fights, which explains why she’s such a heavy favorite.
Since the beginning of 2016, Nunes retains two wins within Valentina Shevchenko, a first-round entry of Miesha Tate and Sara McMann, along with a totally demolishing knockout of Ronda Rousey.
Actually, the only individuals to take Nunes beyond the first round of a fight was Shevchenko and Cat Zingano, who stopped Nunes with strikes at UFC 178.
Nunes has increased much since then and the wise money points in her stopping Pennington in two and a half dozen rounds that’s currently in -135. If the rounds frighten you, but wish to still invest in Nunes, then Nunes by TKO at +120 is a much safer way to play it. (Note: all of odds herein come from William Hill.)
There’s a risk with this bet. Pennington has just been stopped once in her profession, coincidentally also in the hands of Cat Zingano. For individuals with their hearts set on gambling the dog, Pennington dropping by decision (Nunes by UD at +325) is the best bet because the figures say that an upset isn’t happening on Saturday night.
Speaking of live dogs, the UFC 224 co-main is where creative bets can lead to cashing a substantial ticket.
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